Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 68.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 12.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for an Altrincham win it was 0-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
