SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Halifax Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
31.4% ( 0.19) | 25.3% ( 0) | 43.3% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 55.37% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.82% ( 0.05) | 48.18% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.67% ( 0.05) | 70.33% ( -0.05) |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.17% ( 0.15) | 28.83% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.32% ( 0.19) | 64.68% ( -0.19) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.79% ( -0.07) | 22.21% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.38% ( -0.1) | 55.62% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Halifax Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.4% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 43.3% |
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