SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fylde | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
39.83% ( 0.22) | 24.79% ( -0.04) | 35.39% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 58.37% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.19% ( 0.19) | 44.81% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.84% ( 0.18) | 67.16% ( -0.18) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.58% ( 0.19) | 22.42% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.06% ( 0.29) | 55.94% ( -0.28) |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.24% ( -0.01) | 24.76% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.67% ( -0.02) | 59.33% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fylde | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
| 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 39.83% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 35.39% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 25 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 61 | 33 | 28 | 62 |
| 2 | Bromley | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 56 |
| 3 | Barnet | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 55 | 39 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 43 |
| 6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Rochdale | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 41 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 40 |
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 |
| 10 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 40 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 37 |
| 12 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 33 |
| 13 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 43 | 28 | 15 | 31 |
| 16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 31 |
| 17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 30 |
| 18 | York City | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 |
| 20 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 27 |
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 27 |
| 22 | Oxford CityOxford City | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 24 |
| 23 | Fylde | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 22 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 20 |
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