SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Notts County |
28.5% ( 1.11) | 23.69% ( 0.14) | 47.81% ( -1.26) |
| Both teams to score 59.16% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.56% ( 0.13) | 42.43% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.16% ( 0.13) | 64.84% ( -0.13) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.09% ( 0.86) | 27.9% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.48% ( 1.08) | 63.52% ( -1.08) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.06% ( -0.43) | 17.93% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.24% ( -0.75) | 48.75% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.5% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 5% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.32% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.68% Total : 47.81% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 37 | 28 | 7 | 2 | 95 | 34 | 61 | 91 |
| 2 | Notts County | 37 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 93 | 34 | 59 | 87 |
| 3 | Woking | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 62 | 38 | 24 | 68 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Eastleigh | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 60 |
| 6 | Barnet | 35 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 66 | 59 | 7 | 59 |
| 7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 58 |
| 8 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 55 |
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Bromley | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 52 |
| 11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 51 |
| 12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 48 |
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 54 | 65 | -11 | 46 |
| 14 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 44 |
| 15 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 37 | 12 | 7 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 43 |
| 16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 42 |
| 17 | York City | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 39 |
| 18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 39 |
| 19 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 35 | 7 | 16 | 12 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 37 |
| 20 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 81 | -30 | 37 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 33 |
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 42 | 66 | -24 | 30 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 41 | 67 | -26 | 30 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 39 | 79 | -40 | 24 |
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