SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boreham Wood would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Boreham Wood |
30.33% ( -1.01) | 27.19% ( 0.08) | 42.47% ( 0.93) |
| Both teams to score 48.97% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.79% ( -0.65) | 56.2% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.74% ( -0.53) | 77.25% ( 0.52) |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.32% ( -1.07) | 33.67% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.67% ( -1.18) | 70.32% ( 1.18) |
| Boreham Wood Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.83% ( 0.19) | 26.16% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.75% ( 0.26) | 61.24% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Boreham Wood |
| 1-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.39% Total : 30.33% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.28)1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.15% Total : 42.47% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 21 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | Bromley | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 45 |
| 3 | Barnet | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 42 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | Gateshead | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 36 |
| 6 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 35 |
| 8 | Rochdale | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 32 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 30 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 27 |
| 13 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 27 |
| 14 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 26 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 22 | 15 | 25 |
| 16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 24 |
| 19 | York City | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 23 |
| 20 | Woking | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 22 |
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 22 |
| 22 | Oxford CityOxford City | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 21 |
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 19 |
| 24 | Fylde | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 18 |
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