SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bromley win with a probability of 50.27%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bromley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bromley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bromley | Draw | Oxford City |
50.27% ( -0.27) | 23.44% ( 0.09) | 26.29% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 58.14% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.04% ( -0.23) | 42.96% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.64% ( -0.23) | 65.36% ( 0.22) |
| Bromley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.81% ( -0.19) | 17.19% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.53% ( -0.33) | 47.47% ( 0.33) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.21% ( 0.02) | 29.79% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.14% ( 0.03) | 65.86% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bromley | Draw | Oxford City |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.95% Total : 50.27% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.18% Total : 26.29% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
| 2 | Barnet | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Bromley | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 35 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
| 7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 27 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 26 |
| 9 | Rochdale | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 24 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 23 |
| 12 | Woking | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
| 13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 22 |
| 14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 22 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 21 |
| 16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 21 |
| 17 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 19 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 17 |
| 20 | Fylde | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 16 |
| 21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
| 22 | York City | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 16 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 14 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
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