SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Gateshead |
35.3% ( -0.03) | 24.41% ( 0.05) | 40.29% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.7% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.92% ( -0.24) | 43.07% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.53% ( -0.24) | 65.47% ( 0.24) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.99% ( -0.13) | 24.01% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.74% ( -0.19) | 58.26% ( 0.19) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.55% ( -0.11) | 21.44% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.54% ( -0.17) | 54.46% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Gateshead |
| 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 35.3% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.13% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 40.29% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Wrexham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 116 | 43 | 73 | 111 |
| 2 | Notts County | 46 | 32 | 11 | 3 | 117 | 42 | 75 | 107 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 81 | 52 | 29 | 84 |
| 4 | Woking | 46 | 24 | 10 | 12 | 71 | 48 | 23 | 82 |
| 5 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 75 | 67 | 8 | 74 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 72 |
| 7 | Bromley | 46 | 18 | 17 | 11 | 68 | 53 | 15 | 71 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 57 | 45 | 12 | 69 |
| 9 | Eastleigh | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 67 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 63 |
| 11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 61 |
| 12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 61 |
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 60 |
| 14 | Gateshead | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 67 | 62 | 5 | 59 |
| 15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 58 |
| 16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 67 | 91 | -24 | 57 |
| 17 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 45 | 14 | 13 | 18 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 55 |
| 18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 45 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 63 | 75 | -12 | 52 |
| 19 | York City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 51 |
| 20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 50 |
| 21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 58 | 80 | -22 | 48 |
| R | Yeovil TownYeovil | 46 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 35 | 60 | -25 | 40 |
| R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 49 | 87 | -38 | 34 |
| R | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 46 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 45 | 104 | -59 | 25 |
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