SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 61.16%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 19.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.12%) and 0-1 (7.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for an Altrincham win it was 2-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Notts County |
19.22% ( -1.59) | 19.61% ( -0.17) | 61.16% ( 1.75) |
| Both teams to score 62.2% ( -2.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.68% ( -1.62) | 33.32% ( 1.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.9% ( -1.88) | 55.09% ( 1.88) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.57% ( -2.42) | 30.42% ( 2.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.37% ( -2.97) | 66.63% ( 2.98) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.39% ( -0.04) | 10.6% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65.6% ( -0.1) | 34.39% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.26) 1-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.76% Total : 19.22% | 1-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.3)0-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.27)3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.22)Other @ 0.32% Total : 19.61% | 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.65)0-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.59)1-3 @ 7.23% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 6.08% ( 0.48)2-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 4.06% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 3.41% ( 0.26)2-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.14)1-5 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.53% ( 0.12)2-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.06)3-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.26% Total : 61.16% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Wrexham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 116 | 43 | 73 | 111 |
| 2 | Notts County | 46 | 32 | 11 | 3 | 117 | 42 | 75 | 107 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 81 | 52 | 29 | 84 |
| 4 | Woking | 46 | 24 | 10 | 12 | 71 | 48 | 23 | 82 |
| 5 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 75 | 67 | 8 | 74 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 72 |
| 7 | Bromley | 46 | 18 | 17 | 11 | 68 | 53 | 15 | 71 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 57 | 45 | 12 | 69 |
| 9 | Eastleigh | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 67 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 63 |
| 11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 61 |
| 12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 61 |
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 60 |
| 14 | Gateshead | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 67 | 62 | 5 | 59 |
| 15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 58 |
| 16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 67 | 91 | -24 | 57 |
| 17 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 68 | 82 | -14 | 56 |
| 18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 76 | -12 | 53 |
| 19 | York City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 51 |
| 20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 50 |
| R | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 58 | 80 | -22 | 48 |
| R | Yeovil TownYeovil | 46 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 35 | 60 | -25 | 40 |
| R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 49 | 87 | -38 | 34 |
| R | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 46 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 45 | 104 | -59 | 25 |
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