SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 23.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Torquay United win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gateshead | Draw | Torquay United |
53.46% ( 0.07) | 23.33% ( -0.02) | 23.21% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.18% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.67% ( -0) | 45.33% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.33% ( -0.01) | 67.66% |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.1% ( 0.02) | 16.9% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.05% ( 0.04) | 46.95% ( -0.05) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.4% ( -0.06) | 33.6% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.76% ( -0.06) | 70.24% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gateshead | Draw | Torquay United |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 53.46% | 1-1 @ 11.01% 0-0 @ 5.68% 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.33% | 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 23.21% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 43 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 109 | 41 | 68 | 104 |
| 2 | Notts County | 44 | 31 | 10 | 3 | 111 | 39 | 72 | 103 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 43 | 23 | 9 | 11 | 72 | 49 | 23 | 78 |
| 4 | Woking | 43 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Barnet | 43 | 20 | 10 | 13 | 73 | 64 | 9 | 70 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 43 | 18 | 15 | 10 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 69 |
| 7 | Bromley | 43 | 17 | 15 | 11 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 66 |
| 8 | Eastleigh | 44 | 19 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 65 |
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 43 | 18 | 9 | 16 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 63 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 43 | 17 | 7 | 19 | 57 | 70 | -13 | 58 |
| 11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 42 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 57 |
| 12 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 42 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 51 | 67 | -16 | 56 |
| 13 | Halifax TownHalifax | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 55 |
| 14 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 43 | 14 | 12 | 17 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 54 |
| 15 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 43 | 14 | 11 | 18 | 63 | 77 | -14 | 53 |
| 16 | Gateshead | 42 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 52 |
| 17 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 43 | 15 | 7 | 21 | 63 | 88 | -25 | 52 |
| 18 | York City | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 49 |
| 19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 49 |
| 20 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 43 | 13 | 9 | 21 | 60 | 73 | -13 | 48 |
| 21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 43 | 12 | 10 | 21 | 54 | 72 | -18 | 46 |
| 22 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 43 | 7 | 19 | 17 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 40 |
| R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 44 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 47 | 82 | -35 | 34 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 44 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 43 | 95 | -52 | 25 |
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