SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slough Town win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 37.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slough Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slough Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Slough Town | Draw | Hungerford Town |
38.87% ( -0) | 23.64% ( -0) | 37.48% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 62.84% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.91% ( 0.02) | 39.09% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.58% ( 0.02) | 61.42% ( -0.02) |
| Slough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.61% ( 0.01) | 20.39% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.18% ( 0.01) | 52.82% ( -0.01) |
| Hungerford Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.94% ( 0.01) | 21.06% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.13% ( 0.02) | 53.87% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slough Town | Draw | Hungerford Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.83% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.43% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.48% 3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.88% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.99% Total : 38.87% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.3% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.81% ( 0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.64% | 1-2 @ 8.29% 0-1 @ 6.69% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.21% 1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 37.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 43 | 30 | 7 | 6 | 100 | 44 | 56 | 97 |
| 2 | DartfordDartford | 41 | 23 | 7 | 11 | 77 | 45 | 32 | 76 |
| 3 | Oxford CityOxford City | 43 | 20 | 14 | 9 | 76 | 52 | 24 | 74 |
| 4 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 59 | 45 | 14 | 71 |
| 5 | Braintree TownBraintree | 43 | 19 | 13 | 11 | 62 | 52 | 10 | 70 |
| 6 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 43 | 20 | 9 | 14 | 66 | 49 | 17 | 69 |
| 7 | Worthing | 41 | 18 | 12 | 11 | 82 | 67 | 15 | 66 |
| 8 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 43 | 20 | 5 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 65 |
| 9 | Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville | 42 | 18 | 10 | 14 | 74 | 62 | 12 | 64 |
| 10 | Farnborough Town | 41 | 18 | 9 | 14 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 63 |
| 11 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 42 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 63 | 65 | -2 | 63 |
| 12 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead | 43 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 59 |
| 13 | Bath City | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 58 |
| 14 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 43 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 53 | 63 | -10 | 57 |
| 15 | Taunton TownTaunton Town | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 52 |
| 16 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57 | 65 | -8 | 50 |
| 17 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 49 |
| 18 | Dover AthleticDover Athletic | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 41 | 57 | -16 | 48 |
| 19 | Slough TownSlough | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 55 | 75 | -20 | 47 |
| 20 | Dulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet | 42 | 12 | 7 | 23 | 58 | 87 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Cheshunt | 41 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 40 |
| 22 | Weymouth | 42 | 11 | 6 | 25 | 51 | 75 | -24 | 39 |
| 23 | Hungerford TownHungerford | 40 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 36 |
| 24 | Concord Rangers | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 73 | -39 | 31 |
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