SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slough Town win with a probability of 45.95%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slough Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Welling United win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Slough Town | Draw | Welling United |
45.95% ( -1.05) | 24.73% ( 0.23) | 29.31% ( 0.82) |
| Both teams to score 56.16% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.36% ( -0.55) | 46.64% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.09% ( -0.52) | 68.91% ( 0.52) |
| Slough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.63% ( -0.67) | 20.37% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.22% ( -1.08) | 52.78% ( 1.07) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.52% ( 0.3) | 29.47% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.51% ( 0.37) | 65.48% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slough Town | Draw | Welling United |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.79% Total : 45.95% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.34% Total : 29.31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 89 | 39 | 50 | 85 |
| 2 | DartfordDartford | 37 | 21 | 7 | 9 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 70 |
| 3 | Oxford CityOxford City | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 66 | 46 | 20 | 64 |
| 4 | Braintree TownBraintree | 37 | 17 | 12 | 8 | 54 | 42 | 12 | 63 |
| 5 | Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville | 36 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 66 | 51 | 15 | 60 |
| 6 | Worthing | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 70 | 61 | 9 | 60 |
| 7 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 59 |
| 8 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 38 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 58 |
| 9 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 56 | 43 | 13 | 55 |
| 10 | Bath City | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 55 |
| 11 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 38 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Farnborough Town | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 53 |
| 13 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 49 |
| 14 | Dover AthleticDover Athletic | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 44 |
| 15 | Slough TownSlough | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 46 | 64 | -18 | 43 |
| 16 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 42 |
| 17 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 46 | 60 | -14 | 38 |
| 18 | Dulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet | 36 | 11 | 5 | 20 | 51 | 74 | -23 | 38 |
| 19 | Taunton TownTaunton Town | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 37 |
| 20 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 37 |
| 21 | Cheshunt | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 36 |
| 22 | Weymouth | 35 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 32 |
| 23 | Concord Rangers | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 31 |
| 24 | Hungerford TownHungerford | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 29 |
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