SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Slough Town had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Slough Town win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Slough Town | Draw | Chippenham Town |
31.03% ( -0.05) | 23.47% ( -0.02) | 45.5% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 61.58% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.05% ( 0.06) | 39.95% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.69% ( 0.06) | 62.31% ( -0.06) |
| Slough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.99% ( -0) | 25.01% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.33% ( -0) | 59.67% ( 0) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.12% ( 0.05) | 17.87% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.35% ( 0.09) | 48.65% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slough Town | Draw | Chippenham Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.03% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.27% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.79% Total : 45.51% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 32 | 7 | 7 | 110 | 47 | 63 | 103 |
| 2 | DartfordDartford | 46 | 25 | 8 | 13 | 82 | 50 | 32 | 83 |
| 3 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 21 | 15 | 10 | 83 | 56 | 27 | 78 |
| 4 | Worthing | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 92 | 72 | 20 | 78 |
| 5 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 78 |
| 6 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 72 | 51 | 21 | 75 |
| 7 | Braintree TownBraintree | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 66 | 55 | 11 | 74 |
| 8 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 46 | 22 | 5 | 19 | 74 | 66 | 8 | 71 |
| 9 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 68 | 69 | -1 | 70 |
| 10 | Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 80 | 70 | 10 | 69 |
| 11 | Bath City | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64 | 57 | 7 | 67 |
| 12 | Farnborough Town | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 59 | 52 | 7 | 66 |
| 13 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 62 |
| 14 | Taunton TownTaunton Town | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 61 |
| 15 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 60 |
| 16 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 58 |
| 17 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 54 |
| 18 | Slough TownSlough | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 78 | -20 | 51 |
| 19 | Weymouth | 46 | 14 | 6 | 26 | 59 | 78 | -19 | 48 |
| 20 | Dover AthleticDover Athletic | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 48 |
| R | Dulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 61 | 89 | -28 | 48 |
| R | Concord Rangers | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 45 | 85 | -40 | 44 |
| R | Cheshunt | 46 | 11 | 10 | 25 | 48 | 74 | -26 | 43 |
| R | Hungerford TownHungerford | 46 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 40 |
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