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National League South | Gameweek 41
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bulpit Lane
Hungerford
1 - 2
Bath City
Elias-Fernandes (53')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Wilson (31', 38' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hungerford Town and Bath City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hungerford 1-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 2-1 Bath City
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.

Result
Hungerford TownDrawBath City
35.28% (-0.292 -0.29) 25.77% (0.295 0.3) 38.94% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Both teams to score 54.91% (-1.058 -1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.73% (-1.345 -1.35)49.26% (1.343 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.67% (-1.227 -1.23)71.32% (1.224 1.22)
Hungerford Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.07% (-0.809 -0.81)26.92% (0.808 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.75% (-1.074 -1.07)62.25% (1.071 1.07)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.13% (-0.611 -0.61)24.86% (0.609 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.53% (-0.86 -0.86)59.47% (0.858 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Hungerford Town 35.28%
    Bath City 38.94%
    Draw 25.77%
Hungerford TownDrawBath City
1-0 @ 8.78% (0.28 0.28)
2-1 @ 8.02% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.76% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 35.28%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 6.69% (0.36 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 9.32% (0.344 0.34)
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.48% (0.127 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.95% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 3.01% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 38.94%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hungerford 1-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 0-3 Hungerford
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 5-1 Hungerford
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-0 Hungerford
Thursday, April 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hungerford 1-1 Havant & W'ville
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 2-0 Hungerford
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 2-1 Bath City
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 4-0 Concord Rangers
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-0 Bath City
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 0-2 Taunton Town
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-0 Bath City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 1-3 St Albans City
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League South
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Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CEbbsfleet4632771104763103
2DartfordDartford462581382503283
3Oxford CityOxford City4621151083562778
4Worthing4622121292722078
5Chelmsford CityChelmsford City462391467491878
6St Albans CitySt Albans City462291572512175
7Braintree TownBraintree4620141266551174
8Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne46225197466871
9Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels462010166869-170
10Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville4619121580701069
11Bath City461910176457767
12Farnborough Town46199185952766
13Chippenham TownChippenham461517145766-962
14Taunton TownTaunton Town461710195055-561
15Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead461515164957-860
16Welling UnitedWelling United461514175763-658
17Hampton & RichmondHampton46159225971-1254
18Slough TownSlough461312215878-2051
19Weymouth46146265978-1948
20Dover AthleticDover Athletic461212224268-2648
21Dulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet46139246189-2848
22Concord Rangers46128264585-4044
23Cheshunt461110254874-2643
RHungerford TownHungerford461010264872-2440
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