Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.
Result | ||
Hungerford Town | Draw | Bath City |
35.28% ( -0.29) | 25.77% ( 0.3) | 38.94% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 54.91% ( -1.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.73% ( -1.35) | 49.26% ( 1.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.67% ( -1.23) | 71.32% ( 1.22) |
Hungerford Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.07% ( -0.81) | 26.92% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.75% ( -1.07) | 62.25% ( 1.07) |
Bath City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.13% ( -0.61) | 24.86% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.53% ( -0.86) | 59.47% ( 0.86) |
Score Analysis |
Hungerford Town | Draw | Bath City |
1-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.09% Total : 35.28% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.77% Total : 38.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 32 | 7 | 7 | 110 | 47 | 63 | 103 |
2 | DartfordDartford | 46 | 25 | 8 | 13 | 82 | 50 | 32 | 83 |
3 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 21 | 15 | 10 | 83 | 56 | 27 | 78 |
4 | Worthing | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 92 | 72 | 20 | 78 |
5 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 78 |
6 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 72 | 51 | 21 | 75 |
7 | Braintree TownBraintree | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 66 | 55 | 11 | 74 |
8 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 46 | 22 | 5 | 19 | 74 | 66 | 8 | 71 |
9 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 68 | 69 | -1 | 70 |
10 | Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 80 | 70 | 10 | 69 |
11 | Bath City | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64 | 57 | 7 | 67 |
12 | Farnborough Town | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 59 | 52 | 7 | 66 |
13 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Taunton TownTaunton Town | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 61 |
15 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 60 |
16 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 58 |
17 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 54 |
18 | Slough TownSlough | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 78 | -20 | 51 |
19 | Weymouth | 46 | 14 | 6 | 26 | 59 | 78 | -19 | 48 |
20 | Dover AthleticDover Athletic | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 48 |
21 | Dulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 61 | 89 | -28 | 48 |
22 | Concord Rangers | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 45 | 85 | -40 | 44 |
23 | Cheshunt | 46 | 11 | 10 | 25 | 48 | 74 | -26 | 43 |
R | Hungerford TownHungerford | 46 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 40 |
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