Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
Result | ||
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Oxford City |
51.39% ( 0.24) | 23.08% ( -0.07) | 25.53% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 58.65% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.06% ( 0.15) | 41.94% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.66% ( 0.15) | 64.34% ( -0.15) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.59% ( 0.14) | 16.41% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.94% ( 0.26) | 46.07% ( -0.25) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.17% ( -0.06) | 29.83% ( 0.06) |