Oxford City 1-0 Ebbsfleet - National League South - November 30, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Nov 30, 2021 at 7.45pm UK at Marsh Lane

Fleet (45')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Adebayo-Rowling (85')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Oxford City and Ebbsfleet.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.

Result
Oxford City	Draw	Ebbsfleet
41.7%	24%	34.29%

Both teams to score 60.97%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.68%

41.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.28%

63.72%

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.95%

20.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.74%

52.26%

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.25%

23.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.1%

57.89%

Score Analysis

Oxford City 41.7%

Ebbsfleet 34.29%

Draw 23.99%

Oxford City	Draw	Ebbsfleet
2-1 @ 8.84% 1-0 @ 7.65% 2-0 @ 6.15% 3-1 @ 4.74% 3-2 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.03% Total : 41.7%	1-1 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 6.35% 0-0 @ 4.76% 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.99%	1-2 @ 7.91% 0-1 @ 6.84% 0-2 @ 4.92% 1-3 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.36% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.98% Total : 34.29%

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Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Ebbsfleet	42	30	7	5	98	41	57	97
2	Dartford Dartford	40	22	7	11	75	44	31	73
3	Oxford City Oxford City	42	19	14	9	73	51	22	71
4	Chelmsford City Chelmsford City	41	21	8	12	58	42	16	71
5	Braintree Town Braintree	42	18	13	11	59	50	9	67
6	St Albans City St Albans City	42	19	9	14	64	48	16	66
7	Worthing	41	18	12	11	82	67	15	66
8	Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne	42	20	5	17	69	62	7	65
9	Havant & Waterlooville Havant & W'ville	41	18	9	14	73	61	12	63
10	Farnborough Town	41	18	9	14	55	45	10	63
11	Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels	42	18	9	15	63	65	-2	63
12	Bath City	41	16	10	15	55	52	3	58
13	Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead	42	15	13	14	47	50	-3	58
14	Chippenham Town Chippenham	42	13	15	14	51	62	-11	54
15	Hampton & Richmond Hampton	41	14	8	19	56	63	-7	50
16	Taunton Town Taunton Town	39	13	10	16	41	43	-2	49
17	Dover Athletic Dover Athletic	41	12	12	17	40	55	-15	48
18	Slough Town Slough	42	12	11	19	54	73	-19	47
19	Welling United Welling United	41	11	14	16	47	58	-11	46
20	Dulwich Hamlet Dulwich Hamlet	41	12	6	23	57	86	-29	42
21	Cheshunt	41	10	10	21	45	65	-20	40
22	Weymouth	41	10	6	25	50	75	-25	36
23	Hungerford Town Hungerford	39	9	8	22	41	57	-16	35
24	Concord Rangers	37	8	7	22	33	71	-38	31