SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 51.71%. A win for Cheshunt had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Cheshunt win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Oxford City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheshunt | Draw | Oxford City |
25.02% ( -0.08) | 23.27% ( -0.05) | 51.71% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 57.45% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.7% ( 0.17) | 43.3% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.31% ( 0.17) | 65.69% ( -0.16) |
| Cheshunt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.04% ( 0.02) | 30.96% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.74% ( 0.02) | 67.26% ( -0.02) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.21% ( 0.11) | 16.79% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.25% ( 0.2) | 46.75% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheshunt | Draw | Oxford City |
| 2-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 25.02% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.28% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.77% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.92% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 51.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 39 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 93 | 41 | 52 | 88 |
| 2 | DartfordDartford | 37 | 21 | 7 | 9 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 70 |
| 3 | Oxford CityOxford City | 39 | 18 | 13 | 8 | 67 | 46 | 21 | 67 |
| 4 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 65 |
| 5 | Braintree TownBraintree | 39 | 17 | 13 | 9 | 56 | 45 | 11 | 64 |
| 6 | Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 62 |
| 7 | Worthing | 39 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 72 | 65 | 7 | 60 |
| 8 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 39 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 59 |
| 9 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 58 |
| 10 | Bath City | 39 | 16 | 10 | 13 | 55 | 49 | 6 | 58 |
| 11 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 39 | 18 | 4 | 17 | 65 | 60 | 5 | 58 |
| 12 | Farnborough Town | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 54 |
| 13 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead | 39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 53 |
| 14 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 44 |
| 15 | Dover AthleticDover Athletic | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 44 |
| 16 | Slough TownSlough | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 43 |
| 17 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 43 |
| 18 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 42 |
| 19 | Dulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 54 | 80 | -26 | 38 |
| 20 | Taunton TownTaunton Town | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 37 |
| 21 | Cheshunt | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 36 |
| 22 | Weymouth | 37 | 10 | 5 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 35 |
| 23 | Hungerford TownHungerford | 37 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 35 |
| 24 | Concord Rangers | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 58 | -26 | 31 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
