Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for Cheshunt had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Cheshunt win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dartford would win this match.
Result | ||
Cheshunt | Draw | Dartford |
30.81% (![]() | 23.8% (![]() | 45.38% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.26% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.36% (![]() | 41.63% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.96% (![]() | 64.04% (![]() |
Cheshunt Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.03% (![]() | 25.97% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.01% (![]() | 60.98% (![]() |
Dartford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.41% (![]() | 18.59% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.13% (![]() | 49.87% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Cheshunt | Draw | Dartford |
2-1 @ 7.38% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.51% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.39% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.39% Total : 30.81% | 1-1 @ 10.95% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.21% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.83% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.57% ( ![]() Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 9.21% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.12% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.83% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.17% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.83% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.47% ( ![]() Other @ 3.48% Total : 45.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ebbsfleet | 33 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 78 | 34 | 44 | 76 |
2 | DartfordDartford | 33 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 64 | 35 | 29 | 65 |
3 | Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville | 31 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 59 |
4 | Oxford CityOxford City | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 60 | 42 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Worthing | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 62 | 48 | 14 | 55 |
6 | Braintree TownBraintree | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 55 |
7 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 55 |
8 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 52 |
9 | Farnborough Town | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 48 |
10 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 33 | 15 | 3 | 15 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 48 |
11 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 50 | 51 | -1 | 48 |
12 | Bath City | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 45 |
13 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 42 |
14 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 40 |
15 | Dover AthleticDover Athletic | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 37 |
16 | Taunton TownTaunton Town | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 33 |
17 | Slough TownSlough | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 37 | 59 | -22 | 33 |
18 | Dulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 32 |
19 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 29 |
20 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 28 |
21 | Cheshunt | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 37 | 59 | -22 | 28 |
22 | Hungerford TownHungerford | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 27 |
23 | Concord Rangers | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 27 |
24 | Weymouth | 31 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 25 |
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