SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Darlington |
35.54% ( 0.11) | 27.09% ( 0.25) | 37.37% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 50.6% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.25% ( -1.02) | 54.75% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.94% ( -0.85) | 76.06% ( 0.85) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.59% ( -0.43) | 29.41% ( 0.43) |
