SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Brackley Town | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 19 | Curzon Ashton | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 20 | Bradford Park Avenue | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Darlington | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Kettering Town | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | Hereford United | 3 | 0 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kettering Town win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kettering Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Kettering Town |
36.02% ( 0) | 27.5% ( 0.05) | 36.48% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 49.33% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.65% ( -0.21) | 56.34% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.63% ( -0.18) | 77.37% ( 0.17) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.1% ( -0.1) | 29.9% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34% ( -0.13) | 66% ( 0.12) |
| Kettering Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.38% ( -0.14) | 29.62% ( 0.14) |
