SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Chorley | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Curzon Ashton | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Darlington | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Alfreton Town | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Banbury United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Blyth Spartans | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 20.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 2-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Banbury United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Banbury United |
20.04% ( -1.04) | 21.76% ( -0.39) | 58.2% ( 1.42) |
| Both teams to score 55.87% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.76% ( 0.33) | 42.24% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.36% ( 0.33) | 64.64% ( -0.34) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.14% ( -0.83) | 34.85% ( 0.82) |
