Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blyth Spartans win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blyth Spartans win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blyth Spartans would win this match.
