Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 75.92%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 8.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.03%) and 3-0 (10.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
-0.09) 
0.04) 
