SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 69.42%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Leamington FC had a probability of 11.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.35%) and 3-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Leamington FC win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Leamington FC |
69.42% ( -0.03) | 19.32% ( 0.01) | 11.26% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.03% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.39% ( 0.03) | 48.6% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.28% ( 0.03) | 70.72% ( -0.03) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.13% | 12.87% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.74% | 39.26% |
| Leamington FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.39% ( 0.06) | 50.61% ( -0.06) |
