SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gloucester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gloucester City | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
48.26% ( 0.02) | 25% ( 0.01) | 26.74% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.39% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.59% ( -0.08) | 49.4% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.55% ( -0.07) | 71.45% ( 0.07) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.5% ( -0.02) | 20.5% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.01% ( -0.04) | 52.99% ( 0.03) |
| Farsley Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.16% ( -0.07) | 32.84% ( 0.07) |
