Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 54.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 22.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.