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National League North | Gameweek 19
Nov 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
Chorley
8 - 0
Darlington
Ellis (4'), Henley (23'), Shenton (27'), Johnson (53'), Whitehouse (66', 74', 90+3' pen.), Moyo (83')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Darlington.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chorley 2-0 P'boro Sports
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 3-2 Chester
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 54.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 22.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
ChorleyDrawDarlington
54.06% (1.668 1.67) 23.63% (-0.473 -0.47) 22.31% (-1.197 -1.2)
Both teams to score 53.05% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.4% (0.748 0.75)47.6% (-0.752 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.2% (0.686 0.69)69.8% (-0.68899999999999 -0.69)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.48% (0.90600000000001 0.91)17.52% (-0.908 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.97% (1.554 1.55)48.03% (-1.557 -1.56)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.32% (-0.68600000000001 -0.69)35.68% (0.684 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.55% (-0.716 -0.72)72.45% (0.71199999999999 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 54.05%
    Darlington 22.31%
    Draw 23.63%
ChorleyDrawDarlington
1-0 @ 10.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
2-0 @ 9.48% (0.259 0.26)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.214 0.21)
3-0 @ 5.51% (0.306 0.31)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.47% (0.162 0.16)
4-0 @ 2.4% (0.198 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 54.05%
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-0 @ 6.25% (-0.197 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.63%
0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.329 -0.33)
1-2 @ 5.78% (-0.229 -0.23)
0-2 @ 3.32% (-0.235 -0.24)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 22.31%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Chorley 2-0 P'boro Sports
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-1 Chorley
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 1-2 Hereford
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 2-1 South Shields
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Rushall Olympic 5-0 Chorley
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 0-2 Chorley
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 3-2 Chester
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 2-0 Darlington
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 1-2 Darlington
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 1-2 Spennymoor
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 0-0 Blyth Spartans
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 1-2 King's Lynn
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in National League North
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe22144449193046
2Tamworth22142639162344
3Chorley22107538261237
4South Shields22106636231336
5Hereford UnitedHereford2311392729-236
6Chester FCChester2110562516935
7Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton2210572821735
8Brackley Town239682721633
9Alfreton TownAlfreton2095635241132
10Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath2110293029132
11Spennymoor TownSpennymoor219483435-131
12Warrington Town228683028230
13Boston UnitedBoston228682223-130
14Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic227962125-430
15Buxton228593527829
16Banbury UnitedBanbury228592033-1329
17Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports2284102532-728
18SouthportSouthport2284102437-1328
19Blyth Spartans227693232027
20Rushall Olympic2366112936-724
21King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn2358102538-1323
22Gloucester CityGloucester City2255122231-920
23Darlington2147101843-2519
24Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford2242161946-2714
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