SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 19.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Peterborough Sports win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Peterborough Sports |
57.97% ( 0.63) | 22.59% ( -0.24) | 19.44% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 52.1% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.24% ( 0.46) | 46.76% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.98% ( 0.43) | 69.02% ( -0.44) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.16% ( 0.37) | 15.84% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.97% ( 0.69) | 45.03% ( -0.69) |
| Peterborough Sports Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.9% ( -0.16) | 38.09% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.14% ( -0.15) | 74.86% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Peterborough Sports |
| 1-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.28% Total : 57.96% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.59% | 0-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.52% Total : 19.44% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Tamworth | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 32 |
| 2 | South Shields | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 29 |
| 3 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 28 |
| 4 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 27 |
| 5 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 24 |
| 6 | Buxton | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 23 |
| 7 | Brackley Town | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 8 | Chester FCChester | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
| 9 | Chorley | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
| 10 | Boston UnitedBoston | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 22 |
| 11 | Warrington Town | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 22 |
| 12 | Blyth Spartans | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 21 |
| 13 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 21 |
| 14 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 20 |
| 15 | SouthportSouthport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
| 16 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 19 |
| 17 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 19 |
| 18 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 19 |
| 19 | Rushall Olympic | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 18 |
| 20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 17 |
| 21 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 16 |
| 22 | Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 13 |
| 23 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
| 24 | Darlington | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 11 |
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