Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a King's Lynn Town win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a King's Lynn Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.03) 
