SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for Banbury United had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Banbury United win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boston United | Draw | Banbury United |
45.38% ( -0.05) | 25.29% ( 0.06) | 29.32% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.3% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.93% ( -0.27) | 49.07% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.85% ( -0.24) | 71.15% ( 0.24) |
| Boston United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.38% ( -0.13) | 21.62% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.26% ( -0.2) | 54.73% ( 0.2) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.28% ( -0.14) | 30.71% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.03% ( -0.17) | 66.97% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston United | Draw | Banbury United |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.98% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 45.38% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 29.32% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Tamworth | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 32 |
| 2 | South Shields | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 29 |
| 3 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 28 |
| 4 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 27 |
| 5 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 24 |
| 6 | Buxton | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 23 |
| 7 | Brackley Town | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 8 | Chester FCChester | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
| 9 | Chorley | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
| 10 | Boston UnitedBoston | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 22 |
| 11 | Warrington Town | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 22 |
| 12 | Blyth Spartans | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 21 |
| 13 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 21 |
| 14 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 20 |
| 15 | SouthportSouthport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
| 16 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 19 |
| 17 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 19 |
| 18 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 19 |
| 19 | Rushall Olympic | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 18 |
| 20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 17 |
| 21 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 16 |
| 22 | Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 13 |
| 23 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
| 24 | Darlington | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 11 |
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