SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Boston United win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Banbury United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boston United | Draw | Banbury United |
35.11% ( -0.02) | 25.01% ( -0) | 39.87% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.53% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.13% ( -0.01) | 45.87% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.81% ( -0.01) | 68.18% ( 0.01) |
| Boston United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.58% ( -0.02) | 25.42% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.77% ( -0.03) | 60.23% ( 0.02) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.13% | 22.86% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.39% ( 0) | 56.6% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston United | Draw | Banbury United |
| 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.96% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.45% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.11% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25% | 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.58% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.33% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.26% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.11% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.87% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Tamworth | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 26 |
| 2 | South Shields | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Brackley Town | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 21 |
| 6 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
| 7 | Blyth Spartans | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Chorley | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 19 |
| 9 | Buxton | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 18 |
| 10 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 18 |
| 11 | Warrington Town | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
| 12 | Chester FCChester | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston UnitedBoston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
| 14 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 17 |
| 15 | SouthportSouthport | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 17 |
| 16 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 16 |
| 17 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 16 |
| 18 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 15 |
| 19 | Rushall Olympic | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 14 |
| 20 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 14 |
| 21 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
| 22 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
| 23 | Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Darlington | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
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