SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 72.45%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 10.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.42%) and 3-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 0-1 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Banbury United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Banbury United | Draw | Bradford Park Avenue |
72.45% ( 7.6) | 17.3% ( -3.26) | 10.25% ( -4.34) |
| Both teams to score 46.02% ( -2.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.42% ( 3.75) | 42.57% ( -3.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.02% ( 3.63) | 64.97% ( -3.63) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.65% ( 3.17) | 10.35% ( -3.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.18% ( 6.75) | 33.82% ( -6.75) |
| Bradford Park Avenue Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.34% ( -4.84) | 48.66% ( 4.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.29% ( -3.74) | 83.71% ( 3.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banbury United | Draw | Bradford Park Avenue |
| 2-0 @ 12.95% ( 1.09) 1-0 @ 11.42% ( -0.43)3-0 @ 9.8% ( 1.88)2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.45)3-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.53)4-0 @ 5.56% ( 1.6)4-1 @ 4% ( 0.74)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.15)5-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.94)5-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.51)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.09)6-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.43)Other @ 3.06% Total : 72.44% | 1-1 @ 8.23% ( -1.55) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.89)2-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.68)Other @ 0.68% Total : 17.3% | 0-1 @ 3.63% ( -1.26) 1-2 @ 2.96% ( -1.07)0-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.71)Other @ 2.35% Total : 10.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 44 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 79 | 42 | 37 | 87 |
| 2 | Fylde | 43 | 26 | 8 | 9 | 71 | 43 | 28 | 86 |
| 3 | Chester FCChester | 44 | 20 | 18 | 6 | 67 | 41 | 26 | 78 |
| 4 | Brackley Town | 44 | 18 | 14 | 12 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 68 |
| 5 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 44 | 18 | 12 | 14 | 70 | 65 | 5 | 66 |
| 6 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 44 | 18 | 11 | 15 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 65 |
| 7 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 42 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 64 |
| 8 | Darlington | 43 | 17 | 13 | 13 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
| 9 | Buxton | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 64 |
| 10 | Chorley | 44 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 63 |
| 11 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 44 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 63 |
| 12 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 61 |
| 13 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 43 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 62 | 65 | -3 | 59 |
| 14 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 57 |
| 15 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 44 | 15 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 54 |
| 16 | Boston UnitedBoston | 44 | 14 | 10 | 20 | 62 | 63 | -1 | 52 |
| 17 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 43 | 13 | 13 | 17 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 52 |
| 18 | SouthportSouthport | 43 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
| 19 | Kettering TownKettering | 44 | 11 | 16 | 17 | 41 | 59 | -18 | 49 |
| 20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 44 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 48 | 70 | -22 | 47 |
| 21 | Leamington FCLeamington | 44 | 9 | 18 | 17 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 45 |
| 22 | Blyth Spartans | 44 | 10 | 14 | 19 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 44 |
| 23 | Bradford Park AvenueBradford Park Av | 43 | 10 | 12 | 21 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 42 |
| 24 | AFC Telford UnitedTelford | 44 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 33 | 71 | -38 | 31 |
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