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National League North | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tameside Stadium
Curzon Ashton
3 - 1
Boston
Matthews (29'), Kenyon (40'), Sinclair (53')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bostwick (90+3')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Boston United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brackley Town 0-2 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 1-0 Chester
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Curzon AshtonDrawBoston United
32.86% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 26.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 40.36% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.14% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.13% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)53.87% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.67% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)75.33% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.3% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)30.7% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)66.95% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Boston United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26.21% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)61.3% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Curzon Ashton 32.86%
    Boston United 40.36%
    Draw 26.77%
Curzon AshtonDrawBoston United
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 7.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.61% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.21% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 32.86%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 8.05% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 10.77% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.21% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.22% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 40.36%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Brackley Town 0-2 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-1 Chorley
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-1 Curzon Ashton
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-1 Tamworth
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Warrington Town 1-4 Curzon Ashton
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-0 Scunthorpe
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 1-0 Chester
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 4-0 Boston
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 0-0 Boston
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 3-1 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bishop's Stortford 1-0 Boston
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 2-0 Warrington Town
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League North
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Tamworth28202653193462
2Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe27166555233254
3Brackley Town28136934231145
4Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath27143103832645
5Chorley25127644281643
6Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton2712783528743
7Hereford UnitedHereford27134103336-343
8Alfreton TownAlfreton25126744311342
9Chester FCChester26126832201242
10Boston UnitedBoston2711883228441
11South Shields2711794233940
12Blyth Spartans2710894439538
13Warrington Town28108103637-138
14Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic2791082429-537
15Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports25104113238-634
16Rushall Olympic2896133843-533
17Spennymoor TownSpennymoor2695123945-632
18SouthportSouthport2795133049-1932
19Buxton2787123935431
20Banbury UnitedBanbury2686122441-1730
21King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn2869133245-1327
22Gloucester CityGloucester City2757152741-1422
23Darlington2757151951-3222
24Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford2752202658-3217
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