Alfreton Town 3-2 Spennymoor Town - National League North - January 29, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

National League North | Gameweek 24

Jan 29, 2022 at 3pm UK

North Street

Alfreton

3 - 2

Spennymoor

Branson (40'), Sutton (43'), Rhead (58')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Mulhern (19'), Taylor (67')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Spennymoor Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	Spennymoor Town
38.52%	25.27%	36.21%

Both teams to score 56.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.07%

46.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.82%

69.17%

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.97%

24.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.7%

58.29%

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.72%

25.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.95%

60.05%

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 38.52%

Spennymoor Town 36.21%

Draw 25.27%

Alfreton Town	Draw	Spennymoor Town
1-0 @ 8.66% 2-1 @ 8.49% 2-0 @ 6.18% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-0 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.05% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.97% Total : 38.52%	1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 5.84% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.27%	0-1 @ 8.35% 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-2 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 2.68% 0-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 0.92% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.75% Total : 36.21%

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Premier League Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Tamworth	28	20	2	6	53	19	34	62
2	Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe	27	16	6	5	55	23	32	54
3	Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Ath	28	15	3	10	41	34	7	48
4	Brackley Town	28	13	6	9	34	23	11	45
5	Chorley	25	12	7	6	44	28	16	43
6	Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton	27	12	7	8	35	28	7	43
7	Hereford United Hereford	27	13	4	10	33	36	-3	43
8	Alfreton Town Alfreton	25	12	6	7	44	31	13	42
9	Chester FC Chester	27	12	6	9	32	21	11	42
10	Boston United Boston	28	11	8	9	34	31	3	41
11	South Shields	27	11	7	9	42	33	9	40
12	Blyth Spartans	27	10	8	9	44	39	5	38
13	Warrington Town	28	10	8	10	36	37	-1	38
14	Farsley Celtic Farsley Celtic	27	9	10	8	24	29	-5	37
15	Buxton	28	9	7	12	40	35	5	34
16	Peterborough Sports P'boro Sports	25	10	4	11	32	38	-6	34
17	Rushall Olympic	28	9	6	13	38	43	-5	33
18	Spennymoor Town Spennymoor	26	9	5	12	39	45	-6	32
19	Southport Southport	27	9	5	13	30	49	-19	32
20	Banbury United Banbury	26	8	6	12	24	41	-17	30
21	King's Lynn Town King's Lynn	28	6	9	13	32	45	-13	27
22	Gloucester City Gloucester City	27	5	7	15	27	41	-14	22
23	Darlington	27	5	7	15	19	51	-32	22
24	Bishop's Stortford Bishop's Stortford	27	5	2	20	26	58	-32	17