Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
