Toronto 2-2 Philadelphia Union - Major League Soccer - October 27, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Oct 28, 2021 at 12.30am UK at BMO Field

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 41

Toronto

2 - 2

Philadelphia

Altidore (66'), Elliott (70' og.)
Mavinga (57')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bedoya (1'), Santos (77')
Andres Martinez (87')

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The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Philadelphia Union
44.25%	24.64%	31.12%

Both teams to score 57.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.64%

45.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.3%

67.7%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.41%

20.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.87%

53.14%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.38%

27.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.85%

63.15%

Score Analysis

Toronto 44.25%

Philadelphia Union 31.12%

Draw 24.64%

Toronto	Draw	Philadelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.14% 1-0 @ 8.99% 2-0 @ 7.1% 3-1 @ 4.81% 3-0 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.77% Total : 44.25%	1-1 @ 11.56% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.64%	1-2 @ 7.44% 0-1 @ 7.32% 0-2 @ 4.71% 1-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.89% Total : 31.12%

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Eastern Conference

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	New England Revolution New England	9	6	2	1	15	8	7	20
2	FC Cincinnati Cincinnati	9	6	2	1	12	10	2	20
3	Atlanta United Atlanta	8	4	3	1	16	12	4	15
4	New York City FC NY City	9	4	3	2	12	10	2	15
5	Columbus Crew	9	4	2	3	18	10	8	14
6	Nashville SC Nashville	9	3	3	3	8	5	3	12
7	Philadelphia Union Philadelphia	9	3	2	4	14	13	1	11
8	DC United	9	3	2	4	11	13	-2	11
9	Orlando City	8	3	2	3	8	10	-2	11
10	Chicago Fire	7	2	4	1	11	10	1	10
11	Toronto	9	1	6	2	12	13	-1	9
12	Charlotte FC Charlotte FC	9	2	3	4	10	16	-6	9
13	New York Red Bulls NY Red Bulls	9	1	5	3	6	9	-3	8
14	Inter Miami Inter Miami	8	2	0	6	6	9	-3	6
15	CF Montreal Montreal	8	2	0	6	5	17	-12	6

Western Conference

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	St Louis City	9	6	1	2	21	10	11	19
2	Seattle Sounders Seattle	9	6	1	2	17	7	10	19
3	Los Angeles FC Los Angeles	8	5	3	0	16	6	10	18
4	Dallas	9	4	2	3	12	11	1	14
5	San Jose Earthquakes Earthquakes	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
6	Houston Dynamo Houston	8	4	1	3	10	8	2	13
7	Minnesota United Minnesota Utd	8	3	2	3	8	8	0	11
8	Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver	8	2	4	2	11	7	4	10
9	Real Salt Lake Salt Lake	8	3	0	5	10	17	-7	9
10	Portland Timbers Portland	9	2	2	5	11	15	-4	8
11	Colorado Rapids Colorado	9	1	5	3	6	11	-5	8
12	Austin FC Austin	8	2	2	4	6	12	-6	8
13	Los Angeles Galaxy LA Galaxy	8	1	3	4	7	12	-5	6
14	Sporting Kansas City Kansas	9	0	3	6	3	13	-10	3