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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Toronto |
| 38.28% | 26.1% | 35.62% |
| Both teams to score 53.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
