Toronto 3-1 Chicago Fire - Major League Soccer - October 3, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 38

Oct 3, 2021 at 9pm UK

BMO Field

Toronto

3 - 1

Chicago Fire

Delgado (44'), Gonzalez (56'), Soteldo (70')
Soteldo (9'), Laryea (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Beric (16')
Offor (87')

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The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 52.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Chicago Fire
52.85%	23.75%	23.4%

Both teams to score 54.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.02%

46.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.78%

69.22%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.27%

17.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.6%

48.4%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.66%

34.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.95%

71.04%

Score Analysis

Toronto 52.85%

Chicago Fire 23.4%

Draw 23.75%

Toronto	Draw	Chicago Fire
1-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.74% 2-0 @ 9.11% 3-1 @ 5.62% 3-0 @ 5.25% 3-2 @ 3% 4-1 @ 2.43% 4-0 @ 2.27% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.6% Total : 52.85%	1-1 @ 11.25% 0-0 @ 6.09% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.75%	0-1 @ 6.51% 1-2 @ 6.02% 0-2 @ 3.48% 1-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.85% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.16% Total : 23.4%

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Eastern Conference

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	FC Cincinnati Cincinnati	15	11	3	1	24	14	10	36
2	Nashville SC Nashville	15	8	4	3	22	10	12	28
3	New England Revolution New England	15	7	5	3	24	19	5	26
4	Philadelphia Union Philadelphia	15	7	4	4	23	15	8	25
5	Atlanta United Atlanta	16	6	6	4	31	27	4	24
6	DC United	16	6	4	6	22	18	4	22
7	Charlotte FC Charlotte FC	16	6	4	6	20	25	-5	22
8	Columbus Crew	15	6	3	6	28	21	7	21
9	Orlando City	14	5	5	4	17	17	0	20
10	CF Montreal Montreal	15	6	0	9	13	24	-11	18
11	Chicago Fire	15	3	8	4	21	24	-3	17
12	New York Red Bulls NY Red Bulls	16	3	8	5	10	13	-3	17
13	Toronto	16	3	8	5	15	19	-4	17
14	Inter Miami Inter Miami	15	5	1	9	14	18	-4	16
15	New York City FC NY City	15	4	4	7	16	21	-5	16

Western Conference

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	St Louis City	14	8	2	4	29	14	15	26
2	Seattle Sounders Seattle	15	8	2	5	21	13	8	26
3	Los Angeles FC Los Angeles	12	7	4	1	23	10	13	25
4	Dallas	15	6	6	3	17	14	3	24
5	San Jose Earthquakes Earthquakes	14	5	4	5	18	19	-1	19
6	Minnesota United Minnesota Utd	15	5	4	6	13	16	-3	19
7	Austin FC Austin	15	5	4	6	15	20	-5	19
8	Houston Dynamo Houston	13	5	3	5	13	12	1	18
9	Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver	14	4	5	5	19	17	2	17
10	Portland Timbers Portland	15	4	4	7	19	24	-5	16
11	Real Salt Lake Salt Lake	14	4	4	6	14	23	-9	16
12	Sporting Kansas City Kansas	15	3	4	8	13	22	-9	13
13	Colorado Rapids Colorado	16	2	6	8	13	24	-11	12
14	Los Angeles Galaxy LA Galaxy	14	2	3	9	10	24	-14	9