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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 54.92%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 23.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-3 win for Inter Miami in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Inter Miami |
54.92% ( 0.06) | 21.7% ( -0.02) | 23.37% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 61.02% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.29% ( 0.06) | 37.71% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.05% ( 0.06) | 59.95% ( -0.06) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.26% ( 0.04) | 13.74% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.98% ( 0.08) | 41.01% ( -0.08) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.74% ( 0) | 29.26% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.78% ( 0) | 65.22% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.96% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 3.6% Total : 54.92% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.7% | 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 3.2% Total : 23.37% |
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