SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
48.05% ( -0.32) | 23.93% ( -0.01) | 28.03% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 57.97% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.15% ( 0.3) | 43.85% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.77% ( 0.29) | 66.23% ( -0.29) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.61% ( -0.01) | 18.39% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.47% ( -0.02) | 49.53% ( 0.02) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.04% ( 0.4) | 28.96% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.15% ( 0.49) | 64.85% ( -0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.48% Total : 48.05% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.44% Total : 28.03% |
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