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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
47.5% ( -0.53) | 23.85% ( 0.06) | 28.65% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 58.73% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.94% ( 0.05) | 43.06% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.54% ( 0.05) | 65.46% ( -0.05) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.7% ( -0.19) | 18.3% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.62% ( -0.33) | 49.38% ( 0.33) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.88% ( 0.36) | 28.12% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.21% ( 0.45) | 63.79% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.53% Total : 47.5% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.75% Total : 28.65% |
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