Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
41.57% (![]() | 25.69% | 32.74% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.61% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.6% (![]() | 49.39% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.56% (![]() | 71.43% (![]() |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.43% (![]() | 23.57% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.37% (![]() | 57.63% (![]() |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.44% (![]() | 28.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.66% (![]() | 64.34% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
1-0 @ 9.73% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.81% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.03% 3-1 @ 4.24% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2% Total : 41.57% | 1-1 @ 12.19% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.73% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.52% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.43% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 5.29% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.74% |
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