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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 51.61%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Seattle Sounders in this match.
| Result | ||
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
51.61% ( 0.09) | 25.81% ( -0.03) | 22.59% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 46.95% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.15% ( 0.05) | 55.85% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.03% ( 0.04) | 76.96% ( -0.04) |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.3% ( 0.06) | 21.7% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.15% ( 0.08) | 54.85% ( -0.09) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.95% ( -0.03) | 40.04% ( 0.03) |
