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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
37.98% ( -1.11) | 26.69% ( 0.41) | 35.33% ( 0.7) |
| Both teams to score 51.85% ( -1.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.84% ( -1.61) | 53.16% ( 1.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.27% ( -1.39) | 74.73% ( 1.38) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.8% ( -1.37) | 27.2% ( 1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.38% ( -1.82) | 62.62% ( 1.81) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.23% ( -0.36) | 28.77% ( 0.35) |
