SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
48.41% ( 0.57) | 23.17% ( -0.35) | 28.42% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 60.92% ( 1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.91% ( 1.48) | 40.08% ( -1.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.54% ( 1.51) | 62.45% ( -1.52) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.19% ( 0.78) | 16.81% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.21% ( 1.37) | 46.78% ( -1.38) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.23% ( 0.6) | 26.76% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.96% ( 0.79) | 62.04% ( -0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.34)2-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.11)Other @ 4.21% Total : 48.41% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.32)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.17% | 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.31)0-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.09% Total : 28.42% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
