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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 58.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 18.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Chicago Fire |
58.46% ( -1.2) | 22.84% ( 0.25) | 18.69% ( 0.94) |
| Both teams to score 50.04% ( 0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.14% ( 0.37) | 48.86% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.04% ( 0.33) | 70.95% ( -0.34) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.59% ( -0.28) | 16.4% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.94% ( -0.51) | 46.05% ( 0.5) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.86% ( 1.31) | 40.14% ( -1.32) |
