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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Miami in this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | New England Revolution |
44.15% ( 3.62) | 24.56% ( -0.23) | 31.29% ( -3.39) |
| Both teams to score 57.83% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.06% ( 0.04) | 44.94% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.71% ( 0.03) | 67.29% ( -0.03) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.54% ( 1.69) | 20.46% ( -1.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.08% ( 2.62) | 52.92% ( -2.62) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.7% ( -2.05) | 27.29% ( 2.05) |
