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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for DC United had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | DC United |
57.46% ( 0.03) | 23.01% ( -0.01) | 19.53% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.95% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.62% ( 0.03) | 48.37% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.48% ( 0.02) | 70.51% ( -0.02) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.42% ( 0.02) | 16.58% ( -0.02) |
