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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
51.27% ( -1.15) | 24.18% ( 0.08) | 24.55% ( 1.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.96% ( 0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.33% ( 0.67) | 47.67% ( -0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.13% ( 0.61) | 69.87% ( -0.61) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.4% ( -0.19) | 18.59% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.12% ( -0.32) | 49.88% ( 0.32) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.29% ( 1.3) | 33.71% ( -1.3) |
