SM
The 2023 MLS season is now up and running, and you can watch every game live with the MLS season pass on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 53.81%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 23.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
53.81% ( -0.61) | 23.09% ( 0.2) | 23.1% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 55.82% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.59% ( -0.43) | 44.41% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.21% ( -0.42) | 66.79% ( 0.43) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.55% ( -0.37) | 16.45% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.87% ( -0.67) | 46.13% ( 0.68) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.81% ( 0.13) | 33.19% ( -0.13) |
