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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 21.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Minnesota United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
55.22% ( -0.08) | 23.3% ( 0.03) | 21.48% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.99% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.86% ( -0.07) | 47.14% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.63% ( -0.07) | 69.38% ( 0.07) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.07% ( -0.05) | 16.93% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.01% ( -0.09) | 46.99% ( 0.1) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.78% ( 0) | 36.22% ( -0) |
