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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 18 | -4 | 22 |
| 7 | Minnesota United | 17 | -1 | 21 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 17 | -2 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 1 | 29 |
| 2 | Dallas | 17 | 7 | 26 |
| 3 | Seattle Sounders | 17 | 7 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 21.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
54.24% ( 0.39) | 23.98% ( -0.11) | 21.78% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 51.25% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.35% ( 0.16) | 49.65% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.33% ( 0.15) | 71.67% ( -0.15) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.79% ( 0.21) | 18.21% ( -0.21) |
